Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 24, 2019

March 24, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.7 3-1
2 2 A Toast to Gertie 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 New Year’s Party 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Paper Doll 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Monarchos Prayer 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 I’mwildaboutcarlos 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Can’t Count That 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ide Better Move 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Carson’s Prospect 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Weavemeawinr 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Philly 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Chief Envoy 8.00 2.5 5-1
1A 4 Slideruler 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lodi Street 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 6 Blingonthwing 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mundo Mutadda 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 9 It’s All Up to You 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 8 Dance Caller 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 5 Jerry N Bo 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Peace Treaty Pat 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Don’t Tell Stacy 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Salt Life Angel 30.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Mike’s Song 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 5 Stars Included 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 6 Diamond for Crider 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 One Song 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Notimeforchitchat 20.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Frontier Tracy 30.00 3.2 6-1
12 9 Bayouland Star 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 7 Catbalee 15.00 3.6 7-1
11 8 Myjobismylife 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cube 3.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Papajudgy 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Doorag Jimmy 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Optimal 6.00 1.3 3-1
1.5 3-1
4 3 On the Muscle 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Poppy Joe Rocks 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Baron of Bluegrass 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Shackleford Road 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 6 Hashtag Speed 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gladyousawme 5.00 1.5 3-1
1.6 3-1
3 3 Grande Basin 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Underpressure 1.40 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mageez 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Budro Talking 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Payday Too 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Pound for Pound 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.7 3-1
5 5 Screenshot 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Ruffina 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Andthebandplayedon 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mizzen Colony 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Cause Me Grief 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Homefieldadvantage 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Temple Shadow 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 B’s Ten 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Altered Dream 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Bentonville 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flashy Image 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cachito 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lil Blinkey 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tonnerre 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Uncle Herbie 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Horace Charles 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Ricky Dale 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Juneberris Sound 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Grand Ty 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Southern Custom 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Kye’s Addycat 15.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Holy Sunrise 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Jacobs Flyer 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 King Sniper 8.00 5 9-1
12 11 Mikey’s Mouse 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cheytac 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Rocktizway 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lord Colliery 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Briar Jumper 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Power Song 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 8 Harlan Selection (ARG) 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Oro de Tejano 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Aizhai 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Midnight Clear 30.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Kitten Street 15.00 3.7 7-1
12 10 Cardinal Coach Mac 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Wristlet 12.00 4 8-1
11 9 Felipe 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boss Betty 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flash Hands 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Aloha Betty 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Audubon Alex 8.00 2 4-1
10 9 Have No Fear 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Sweet Prayers 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Mia O Maya 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Guiltyfromthegitgo 20.00 3.7 7-1
12 11 Crispy Creed 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Incoming Wire 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Glorieta 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Queen Shasta 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Scootin Bayou 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Stephanie’s City 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Weightlessness 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Coexistence 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Sharpin 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fides Ratio (FR) 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Taber 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Hawn 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Daaherachel 5.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Holiday Time 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Boca Bloom 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Trust in Love 20.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Cause Libby Knows 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Halfway 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Cafe Mischief 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Andy Jones 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Happy Go Lucky 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Cogan 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 6 Victory Lane 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 2 Blackard 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 7 Pippin 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 3 Brilliant Decision 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 5 Applewood 4.00 3.3 6-1
1A 11 Person to Person 12.00 3.5 7-1
12 10 Jackfruit 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 9 Court’s Revenge 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 4 Call Me Dusty 30.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Dyna Ghost 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ever True 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Firewater Jake 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Oxburger 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Morning Social 8.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Time Flies By 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Cowboys Dream 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Fireball Jon 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Leader of Men 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Crossfire 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Attorney Tim 20.00 5 9-1
11 11 One for Richie 12.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Joker D Lish 30.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Another Mystery 20.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Lookin High 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Speedactus 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ash Tax 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Zippit Zippy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Our Prince 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Da Van Geaux 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Cheap Shot 6.00 1.8 3-1
13 9 Oliver’s Prayer 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 3 Flashyboy Bobb 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Sovol 12.00 3.1 6-1
12 8 Callmechamp 12.00 3.2 6-1
11 7 Doug’s Bug 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Taft’s Lil Boy 20.00 3.9 7-1
14 10 Ide B Stranded 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 6 Fix D Fence 30.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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