March 24, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Racing Raven 0.80 1.2 2-1
1.4 3-1
3A 3 Platinum Nugget 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Flat Out Jayvien 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 No No Noah 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Smidge 15.00 3 6-1
5A 5 Friendship Seven 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Garsoon 30.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Take Your Place 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Mad Munnys 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bootlegger (FR) 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Crea’s Bklyn Law 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Leap to Glory 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mohican 10.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alphalfa 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Tizgame 0.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Holey Matrimony 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 5 Suremoney 8.00 2 4-1
5 4 Bassman Dave 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Step to the Bank 15.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Starry Rose 0.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Give Me a Hug 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Flying Pleasantly 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Princess Alana 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Know Point Given 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Roses From Ben 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Run From Theheat 30.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Aly’s Courage 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Sheza Diva 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Nancysaidso 2.00 1.1 2-1
1.4 3-1
1 1 Takecharge Mirella 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Brass Ring 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Movie Score 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Countable 4.00 2.8 5-1
2A 2 Jazzy J 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Thinkingofglenn 30.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pier Forty 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Papa Jim 4.00 1.5 3-1
1.7 3-1
4 4 Top of the Mint 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 True Blue Giant 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Disciplanarian 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Big Paddy Brown 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bebe Banker 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Binkster 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Big Gemmy 3.00 0.9 2-1
5 5 Shamrock Kid 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Playwright 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Vicar’s Legend 15.00 2.6 5-1
10 9 Real Dan 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Bourbon Did It 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Latin Love Bug 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Dublin Green 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Sams Last Ghasp 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Out of Orbit 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Free Kitty 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Sun Studio 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Love to Learn 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Norma’s Charm 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Pink Twist 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Storm Rising 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Obsolete 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thesis 3.00 1.6 3-1
1.6 3-1
3 3 Bettor Bank On It 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Shock Therapy 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mend Up 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Poker Game 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Oh K Funnybone 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Mac’s Revolution 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Brown Essence 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Big Mountain 20.00 4.5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.