Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 22, 2019

March 22, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cohete Rojo 4.00 SCRATCH
3 2 West Texas 1.80 1.4 3-1
1.6 3-1
5 4 Malpais 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Jerrys Pridenjoy 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 Distant Shore 2.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pretty Production 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Flying Rosie 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Casual Cool 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Compromising 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Backstage Star 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Hannah Banana 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Meg and Clair 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Say Yes Again 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Lagniappe 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Rule Taylor Rule 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Sucre 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Onetwomanyrockets 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Raising the Ante 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Kris T. 5.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nippy Red 3.00 1.2 2-1
1.5 3-1
3 3 Take Charge Chase 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 I B Revolutionery 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Point the Way 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Icy Willie 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Looking for Bull 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 No More for U 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Jennovodka 8.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Buggy Brown 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jake the Band Man 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Midnight Blue Note 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Just Blaze 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Uncle Youdge 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Carson Kan 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Whiskey Bravo 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 About Our Time 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Voodoo Spell 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Elkhorn Poet 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emily’s Pegasus 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Queen E 5.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Over Tipped 3.50 1.9 4-1
9 8 Brahms’ Regal Gal 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 3 Safe Keeping 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Freakenstein 20.00 3 6-1
7 6 Galaxy Girl 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Little Girls Rule 30.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 X Minus One 30.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Cindy Marie 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Myositis Mystique 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Aint Annie Grand 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 On My Toes 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Behold the Queen 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 13 My Pepper Ann 12.00 2.9 6-1
13 11 Havinfunyet 3.00 3.3 6-1
1A 14 Cinnamon Diva 12.00 3.4 7-1
11 9 Hopette 8.00 4 8-1
12 10 Trust in Diane 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Catty Krys 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Lunarstrike 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Star Performer 20.00 5.1 10-1
14 12 Ellie Girl 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Lady Quality 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Goddess of Kip 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Love to Singh 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 3 Zippy 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 2 Marco Mischief 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Zenucci 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Tensas Talk 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Maga Man 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Big Boy Dave Rex 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Cajun Creed 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Smokin’ Truth 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 General Tone 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Sweet Blindness 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 She’s Divine 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Bee Bit 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Keeneasabean 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Nerissa 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sissy’s Kitten 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Tupelo Hon E 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Kaydees in Town 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Gioblast 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Delfina 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Love That Goose 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Spun Line 12.00 5 10-1
9 9 Street Runner 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mardi Gras Parade 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Whistling Harper 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Binds Fair Lass 20.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Deal Fever 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 2 Lil Ms Bossy Pants 8.00 2 4-1
4 1 Mega Rose 10.00 2 4-1
9 6 Ballerina Boogie 4.00 2.6 5-1
11 8 Untuttable Speed 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 7 Lassie’s Last Hour 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 4 Gerrie Lou 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 5 Boston Crider 12.00 4.1 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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