Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2019

March 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chicken Dinner 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Determined Mission 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 S P F Ninetynine 15.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Weekends for Work 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Gaby Vee 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 4 Broadway Trouper 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 6 Myladycharlotte 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Kissandsaygoodbye 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Miss Quick 20.00 3 6-1
10 7 Dancing Contessa 15.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Proud Wildcat 30.00 SCRATCH
1.5 3-1
8 7 Gold Man 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 6 Two Putt 2.00 2 4-1
6 5 Will Munnings 1.80 2 4-1
3 2 Lion Lord 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 1 Divine Interventio 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Ten Hut 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Grateful Cause 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Padrino’s Heart 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bucked Tooth 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Bandolini 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dapper Mun 12.00 3 6-1
10 10 Lucky Junior 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Closer Look 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 My Lord 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Marylander 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Cairo Sun 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Rising Perry 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blue Y Gold (ARG) 8.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Stoney Bennett 2.00 0.9 2-1
6 6 Showalter 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 First Mondays 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Workin On a Dream 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Robey’s Boy 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 South Sea 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Completed Pass 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fly E Dubai 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Harrison E. Johnson Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Forewarned 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Twisted Tom 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Unbridled Juan 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 John Jones 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bonus Points 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Cordmaker 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 General Downs 6.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Federal Walk 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blame the Kids 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Dattt Melody 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Whirlin Curlin 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bobby G 8.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Birdies Honor 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dynamax Prime 10.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Liberty Lane 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Chargin Storm 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Hayne’s Fever 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Kopper Wired 50.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Don’t Poke the Cat 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Beyond The Wire S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pat’s No Fool 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Las Setas 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 7 Our Super Freak 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Destiny Over Fate 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 It Justhitthe Wire 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Crafty’s Dream 12.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Afleet Destiny 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Discreet Sister 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Private Terms S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alwaysmining 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Joevia 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Tybalt 6.00 1.7 3-1
1.7 3-1
7 7 Still Dreaming 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Red Gum 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Makes Mo Cents 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dixie Drawl 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Conniver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Phantom Shot 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Le Weekend 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Anna’s Bandit 2.50 1 2-1
5 4 Hailey’s Flip 6.00 2 4-1
10 8 S W Briar Rose 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Enchanted Ghost 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 Limited View 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Velocita Brillante 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Conjecture 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Truly Hot 15.00 4 8-1
11 9 No Picnic 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Not For Love S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lewisfield 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Laki 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Struth 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Rockinn On Bye 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Eastern Bay 20.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Clubman 6.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Valley Cal 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Buster’s Brother 0.60 1.8 3-1
1 1 Creepy the Crab 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Conquistodor Fuego 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Seventyseven Force 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Uncle Shaggy 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Gran Champion 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Watchmeneighneigh 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 High Country B 20.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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