Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2019

March 16, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Honey Won’t 1.80 1.2 2-1
6 6 Bears Mafia 3.50 1.5 3-1
1.7 3-1
9 9 Social Currency (KOR) 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Rags for Britches 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Calamity Kat 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Indy Rules 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Direct Approach 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Mystic Times 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Blankenbaker 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Travy Boy 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Valdocco 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Silver Wings Reven 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Royalty Salvatore 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Particularity 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Kokomo Wildcat 20.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dr Harlan 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lovingrdsimmar 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Prime Issue 1.80 1.5 3-1
1.6 3-1
6 6 Tale of Fire 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Chovanes 12.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Oh My Warrior 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tempter 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Giant Dilemma 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Resourceful 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Rock You 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Abounding Joy 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Munchkin Money 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sanity 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Southern Sis 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Notapradaprice 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Burning Question (IRE) 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Psalmody 15.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brother Aaron 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Island Song 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Mischievous Bird 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Presto 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Sayyaaf 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 2 Freefall 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Wild Behavior 12.00 3 6-1
8 7 Marsac 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mission Driven 1.60 1.5 3-1
10 10 Squadron 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Erasmo’s Dream 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Second Street 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Franklin Towers 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 The Queens Jules 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Could Be 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Atypical 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Grand Nenuco 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Versed 30.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Who’s Out 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Icatiro 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 French Quarter 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Belle Tapisserie 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Diddley 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Take Charge Dude 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Springmeier 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Forman the Foreman 10.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All Star Seiler 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 King Kingo 3.00 2 4-1
11 10 El Playon 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 9 Littleroughjustice 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Valid Exchange 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Ogre’s Cat 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Darby Dart 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Karamchand 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Father Joe 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Byron Bay 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Zaman 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1.7 3-1
5 5 J Zar 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Baffin Bay 1.60 2 4-1
8 8 Dakota’s Dude 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Imperial Majesty 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tangible 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Traffic Stop 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Doctor D J 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bad to the Core (FR) 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sharetheblame 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 With Dignity 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ready to Tango 2.50 0.9 2-1
1.4 3-1
2 2 Beauty Buzz 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cairo Queen 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Royal Charlotte 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lucky Little Lady 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Sinwaan 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Golden Splendor 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Canary Song 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Inside Information S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tequilita 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Teresa Z 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Pink Sands 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Jala Jala (MEX) 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Cairenn 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 America’s Tale 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Pacific Gale 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Razorback Lady 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 C Major 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Passport to Chaos 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mutakatif (IRE) 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Exprompt (FR) 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Watch Me Whip 10.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Just the Facts 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Elgar 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Vegas Kitten 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 King of Spades 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Whenthedovescry 20.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Septimius Severus 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Youshouldbesolucky 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Lucky Mike 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Lahinch 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ohanzee 4.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 Red Fog 15.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Mony 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jeeker Joe 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bodie Cody 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Street Giant 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cockalorum 30.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 I Stand Corrected 20.00 5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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