Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 16, 2019

March 16, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Echoesoftime 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Light Her Up 1.80 1.2 2-1
1.5 3-1
1 1 Seaside Amour 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 4 Saints’ Girl 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Red La Rosa 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Tenpins Tempo 3.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hansen’s Holiday 10.00 SCRATCH
1.5 3-1
2 2 Uncle Nearis 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 El Tristan 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Absolut Neworleans 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Whathadhappenwuz 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Ida’s Warrior 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Beauty Boy 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Iron Grip 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tylers Bandit 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Potential Danger 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sparkys Surprise 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Neverquitdreaming 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Sharp Money 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Carolyn’s Cactus 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fortythreeoeight N 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dontwishfortrouble 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 I’m a C Looker 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sohni 15.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starlight Express 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fame Feather 3.50 SCRATCH
7 5 Flashly 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 2 Decant 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Upset Brewing 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Dance Rhythms 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 D’boldest 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Broome 6.00 3 6-1
8 6 Shakopee Town 4.50 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blip Says Bye 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Helena 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Rumandice 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Violent Lady 6.00 2 4-1
5 4 Blinkers 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Change of Control 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 J D’s Girl 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Marriage 10.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starmaline 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Calamity Jane 12.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Is Too 1.80 2 4-1
3 2 Mr. Al’s Gal 6.00 2 4-1
5 4 Dontmesswithjoanne 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Eskenformore 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Hyper Piper 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tap Dance Star 12.00 3 6-1
10 8 Bermuda Star 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Special Blessing 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tough Kicks 3.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Elektracutioner 10.00 SCRATCH
5 6 Aunt Bae Bae 10.00 SCRATCH
4 5 Blowin Your Mind 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 2 Girls Life 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 1 Veronica’s Dream 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 4 Pam’s Meadow 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 6 Champagne Moment 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 D’wild Muffin 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 5 Vinton’s Vin Geaux 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 7 Sixteen Punches 12.00 3.9 7-1
11 8 Sabe Marcelete 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cypress Point 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Weabie 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Style and Grace 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Houston Strong 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Twirlingontheedge 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Desert Ride 4.50 SCRATCH
9 4 Support 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 1 Special for You 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 2 Out for a Spin 5.00 2 4-1
7 3 Ginny B 12.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Orbert 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 New Frontier 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bourbon Calling 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Lost in Limbo 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Runnin’ Ray 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tough Love 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sportster 12.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Six Percent 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Love That Warrior 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Ashlee’s Reward 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Colonel Samsen 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Speight Swiftly 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Applicator 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ninety One Assault 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Firey Speech 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dontblamerocket 4.50 1.3 3-1
12 7 Italian Charm 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 5 Higher Power 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Gettysburg 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 6 Don’task Don’ttell 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Bemma’s Boy 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Malibu Uproar 20.00 3.6 7-1
13 8 Strut the Ring 6.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 So Serious 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Foreign Connection 1.40 1.1 2-1
1 1 Atlantic Zing 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 5 Flash Hands 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Tee Nah Nah 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Lookin Back At It 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 She’s Seventeen 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Miss Invader 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Nottodayfellas 20.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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