Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 14, 2019

February 14, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sneem (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Boru 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spanish Bay 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Aced 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Molaf 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Persuasive Cat 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 The Daddy Factor 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Scrambled 6.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Awesome Amanda 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Big Base 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Perfect Portrait 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Whata Flirt 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Encountress 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Spacerika 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Scotty 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Platinum Equity 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Elwood J 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Midnight Soot 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Muchos Besos 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Twirling Tiger 6.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Lilly 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lea’s Reward 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Duranga 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ciao Luna 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sharp Holiday 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Blooming Hannah 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sought More Pep 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Sea Glass 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 She Began Again 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Twirling Diamond 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Goodtingscominpink 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Meritocracy 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bluegrass Betty 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 4 Boolicious 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Daddys Real Diva 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 3 Ride Out the Storm 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 5 Starship Sky 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 R Cha Cha 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Allaboutaction 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Annie’s Candy 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Jan’s Reserve 4.00 4 7-1
4 4 Adens Dream 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Distinctive B 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Don’t Stalk Me 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Italiano 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Street Vision 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kate’s Princess 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Data Storm Kitty 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Fia 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Diosa 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rather Nosy 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Twirling Devon 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Time for Suzzie 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Just Splendid 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Oggonis 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 High Five 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Meadway 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Stretford End 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 3 Grit and Curiosity 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 7 Bowl of Spaghetti 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Of Good Report 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 8 Charmer John 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Call You Tomorrow 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Bump Bailey 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Duchamp 12.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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