Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 14, 2019

February 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Snap Hook 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Abe Froman 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Run Rite 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Mjolnir 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Souper Warrior 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Russian Wine 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 A I Initiative 3.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Country Strong 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Money Purse 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Blue Magic 1.60 3 6-1
4 4 Chief Bow No Move 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Monja 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cocktails Or Candy 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Bandida Rags 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Discreet Heat 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Parade Blue 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 3 Inhibition 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Over Sensual 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Pass the Butter 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Peace Accord 30.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 U S Academy 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wisely 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Indurate 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Bad Boy E. J. 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 The Robert 15.00 2.8 5-1
8 5 Vettel 2.50 3 6-1
6 3 Marnesia One Step 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Second Encore 30.00 4.8 9-1
9 6 Archie’s Song 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grenadier 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Winning Drive 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Smoker 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Luckytobeinamerica 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Saint Larned 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Big Sport 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Elusive Ro 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dalal 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Alpilles 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Hit the Curb 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Gran Surprise 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Curious Zelda 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Hot Fudge Honey 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Dillon’s Kitty 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sky Shaft 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oscura 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Little Christina 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Proud Legacy 30.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Gracias Adios 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 2 Neuqua 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Love and Lemons 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 3 Specialcnsydration 30.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 Wishfully 30.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Music Maker 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Diva’s Revenge 1.20 2.5 5-1
2 2 Miss Claudia 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Ny Beth Getsitdone 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Shanghaisweetheart 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Go Girl Gone 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Saucy Teen 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Magna Paciencia 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Grand Tap 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Farley 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Andronikos 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Shanghai Noon 6.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Teak 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 4 Thorpe d’Oro 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 6 Visions of You 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 2 Dublin Tinker 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 5 Escarapela 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Ranger’s Coming 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Crumb Bun 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Busy Signal 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Starship Nala 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Bimini 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 A Bit of Both 1.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Brunette Princess 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Avocado Toast 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 On With God 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Happy Hat 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wildcat Blast 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Dynamic Dancer 1.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Soupery Dupery 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Wahoowah 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Codeseventyseven 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 5 Art’s Table 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Stuck With You 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Cause for Pardon 20.00 6.4 12-1
10 8 Calypso Deep 30.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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